Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 9.202493 10.630046 12.162569 13.925091 15.890929 18.010861 20.464482
2025-11-23 6.904184 8.745996 10.869140 13.478347 16.578118 20.122060 24.457984
2025-11-30 5.738567 7.803299 10.315069 13.556400 17.585701 22.385191 28.485496
2025-12-07 4.895870 7.080087 9.862754 13.604054 18.431792 24.376375 32.165222
2025-12-14 4.286498 6.551541 9.558024 13.747632 19.329990 26.399519 35.900437
2025-12-21 3.754889 6.047711 9.210292 13.765330 20.013941 28.129013 39.283365
2025-12-28 3.427571 5.784837 9.148637 14.134821 21.148307 30.453820 43.489234
2026-01-04 3.115322 5.501912 9.020579 14.380542 22.098851 32.545050 47.435900
2026-01-11 2.795935 5.167415 8.778931 14.429305 22.752949 34.235281 50.877223
2026-01-18 2.414930 4.687602 8.270590 14.036592 22.734448 34.971709 53.012343
2026-01-25 2.106786 4.290083 7.849354 13.733323 22.809975 35.817466 55.298776
2026-02-01 1.833535 3.918404 7.432747 13.398509 22.804326 36.525491 57.389313
2026-02-08 1.602778 3.597239 7.073941 13.132962 22.892440 37.377961 59.728526
2026-02-15 1.375789 3.253011 6.643046 12.714591 22.711773 37.814041 61.463699
2026-02-22 1.252168 3.093319 6.517425 12.789217 23.302697 39.412640 64.941692
2026-03-01 1.137867 2.937215 6.382779 12.834663 23.840339 40.938340 68.344495
2026-03-08 1.047389 2.819007 6.306143 12.971579 24.526385 42.705998 72.151651
2026-03-15 0.951497 2.675902 6.168833 12.988457 25.007138 44.161189 75.514319
2026-03-22 0.902316 2.631540 6.217623 13.340865 26.062781 46.547663 80.362996
2026-03-29 0.844465 2.559265 6.204222 13.575270 26.921765 48.640985 84.804137
2026-04-05 0.773229 2.444845 6.095170 13.621791 27.452829 50.216911 88.469371
2026-04-12 0.671501 2.238603 5.776707 13.247170 27.223154 50.541817 90.159912
2026-04-19 0.588438 2.066383 5.512980 12.957934 27.125613 51.070887 92.176804